Exchange traded funds (ETFs)09.07.09

Exchange traded funds (ETFs) are CEFs that own a set group of stocks, often those in an index such as the S&P 500 or the Dow Jones utilities. Most ETFs are also convertible into the underlying shares such that they always trade at or near NAV. The main issue with ETFs is that they only own the overpriced, overowned stocks in the index. When the last buyer is in for overpriced stocks, returns are mediocre at best and volatility increases.

However, ETFs, unlike index funds, are traded all day long. Overconfident investors will trade them, running up commissions and spreads. Internet companies now offer, for a fee, selected groups of individual stocks. These preset stock portfolios are tailored to attract a wide range of investor whims and are designed to give the investor the illusion of control.

With a mutual fund you are taxed on gains you did not incur and can lose value because other investors panic and sell. Internet portfolios allow you to control your gains and do not subject you to the whims of fund managers and fund management companies. Unfortunately, as a group, most of these portfolios will have the same swings as the market. These portfolios are full of the same overowned, overbought stocks that fill mutual funds. When the last buyer is in, return will be mediocre and volatility high. A mutual fund panic will cause your portfolio to drop just as it would if you owned a mutual fund. Powerlessness can lead to anxiety, numbness, depression, and freefloating fears as with any stock product.

Posted in loans, real estate, taxeswith Comments Off

Finances and Borrower Risk Grade04.26.09

Lower credit grade borrowers exhibit higher risk multipliers relative to the baseline (risk grade AA). This is due to the “credit curing effect.” Credit curing refers to the improvement in a borrower’s credit score or profile as the borrower makes and maintains a schedule of timely payments. As the borrower’s credit improves, he or she could become eligible for a prime or near-prime loan with a favorable rate relative to a subprime loan. As a result, the borrower is “in-the-money” and faces a positive economic incentive to refinance.

The credit curing effect increases as the borrower’s risk grade declines. This is because the lowest risk grade borrowers (C, CC) are paying the highest rates and, as a result, realize the greatest economic benefit from credit curing.

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